The third reading of USD GDP QoQ is released pre US session. This is usually very close to the forecast and rarely triggers a trade. We only look for 15-20 pips on this trade, it's not usually one to hold...

USD Retail Sales is released prior to the US session and is the main event. We're looking for a divergence of +/-0.5. If this is hit then we'll be looking for a 30+ pip spike. This divergence is usually enough...

Today we see the Fed Interest Rate Decision. All 92 economists are forecasting a hike from 1.75% to 2.00% at today's meeting. CME FedWatch is currently forecasting the probability of a hike at 91%: CME FedWatch. This means that the...

Today we see USD CPI MoM. If a trade is triggered using our triggers, we think the move will be strong enough to overcome any conflict and therefore we are not adding any of the other components to Conflict Manager....

Early US session we see USD ISM Manufacturing PMI. We set reasonably wide triggers for this event as reactions are usually quite small. We only want to trade if there is a large divergence and even then we will look...

Later today we see USD Nonfarm Payrolls. This figure has become more difficult to trade in recent times as more relevance is being placed on other components of the report. We'll add USD Unemployment Rate to Conflict Manager and we'll...

The second reading of USD GDP QoQ is released pre US session. We don't usually see a large enough deviation on the second reading to trigger a trade, but will setup just in case. We only look for 15-20 pips...

USD Retail Sales is released prior to the US session and is the main event. We're looking for a divergence of +/-0.5. If this is hit then we'll be looking for a 30+ pip spike. This divergence is usually enough...

Today we see USD CPI MoM. As always, we will add the YoY and Core figures to Conflict Manager. If a trade is triggered, expect a spike of around 40 pips.

Later today we see USD Nonfarm Payrolls. This figure has become more difficult to trade in recent times as more relevance is being placed on other components of the report. We add USD Unemployment Rate to Conflict Manager. Both components...