The BoE announce their interest rate decision today. All of the 38 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg expect rates to be unchanged, with a 7-2 split seen as the mostly likely outcome. If you wish to be more aggressive with this...
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This evening we see NZD GDP QoQ. We like to see a reasonable deviation for this trade, otherwise market moves are often too small. If a trade is triggered, expect a spike of around 30 pips.
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Today we see the Crude Oil Inventories for the week. This event performed badly during March and April and we dropped it from our trades. We keep monitoring all events and as performance improved in May, we are adding it...
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USD Retail Sales is released prior to the US session and is the main event. We're looking for a divergence of +/-0.5. If this is hit then we'll be looking for a 30+ pip spike. This divergence is usually enough...
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Early European session we see GBP Retail Sales. We've only recently added this event back into our trades as it was untradeable for a while. Last month triggered a buy trade with our parameters and we saw a good spike...
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SEK CPI MoM is released early in the European session. We trade the MoM figure and add CPI YoY to Conflict Manager. This is a two star event, and usually has good follow through. The last couple of months have...
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AUD Employment Change is released during the Asian session. We will setup Conflict Manager for AUD Unemployment Rate. If a trade is triggered, expect a spike of 20-30 pips. Also note, AUD events are leaked more often than others. If...
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Today we see the Fed Interest Rate Decision. All 92 economists are forecasting a hike from 1.75% to 2.00% at today's meeting. CME FedWatch is currently forecasting the probability of a hike at 91%: CME FedWatch. This means that the...
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Early European session we see GBP CPI YoY. This event rarely misses forecast by more than +/-0.1, but when it does we usually get a really nice move. This event has been very good the last couple of months. We...
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Today we see USD CPI MoM. If a trade is triggered using our triggers, we think the move will be strong enough to overcome any conflict and therefore we are not adding any of the other components to Conflict Manager....
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